Tax for Australians · PUBLISHED 04 JUL 2026 · VERIFIED 04 JUL 2026 · AU EDITION

SOPHIE EXPLAINS: Your 2025-26 Tax Return Still Uses the 16% Rate ($268 More)

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If you lodge a 2025–26 tax return on a $90,000 salary, you’ll be taxed using the old 16% bracket, paying about $268 more than you would if the new 15% rate starting 1 July 2026 applied to that same income.

The number that matters

$268 / year — tax cut per taxpayer from 1 July 2026 From 1 July 2026, the marginal tax rate on income between $18,201 and $45,000 drops from 16% to 15%, delivering a tax saving of up to $268 per year for individuals earning $45,000 or more, relative to the 2024–25 tax settings.

How it quietly costs you

Mechanism: Tax years vs budget announcements

What rates actually apply to your 2025–26 return (year ending 30 June 2026)

For Australian residents, official 2025–26 income tax brackets (excluding Medicare) are:

The Medicare Levy of 2% of taxable income generally applies once a single person’s income reaches $34,027 in 2025–26.

Impact: What you miss out on in 2025–26

The 2026–27 Budget confirms that from 1 July 2026 (2026–27 year), the 16% marginal rate on $18,201–$45,000 falls to 15%, giving up to $268 per year in tax cuts compared to 2024–25 settings.

Because the cut only starts after 30 June 2026:

Old vs better comparison (bracket only)

For income between $18,201 and $45,000:

On a full $26,800 of income in that bracket (from $18,201 to $45,000):

The second, compounding trap

Mechanism: Future offsets and instant deductions don’t apply yet

The 2026–27 and 2027–28 Budgets introduce new relief that only applies from later years, but many taxpayers assume it affects the return they’re lodging now:

Neither WATO nor the $1,000 instant deduction applies to your 2025–26 tax return:

Impact: missed relief if you assume “2026 changes” apply now

For a typical full‑time worker lodging their 2025–26 return:

Long‑run cost of misunderstanding timing (illustrative):

While the ATO does update withholding tax tables from 1 July 2026 to reflect the new rates, any misunderstanding of which year the cuts apply to can still leave households short hundreds of dollars when their 2025–26 return is assessed.

What this looks like in practice

Persona

Discovery 1 — Her “2026” pay is still taxed at 16% on the first bracket

When Emily checks the current resident tax rates for the year ending 30 June 2026, she finds:

Comparing to the announced post‑1 July 2026 rate of 15%, she realises that same slice will only cost $4,020, saving $268 per year from 2026–27 onwards.

Discovery 2 — The big “cost‑of‑living” offsets don’t apply to the return she’s lodging

Reading the Budget 2026–27 material, Emily sees:

She discovers that none of this applies to the 2025–26 return she’s lodging now, so any expectation of $455+ in combined relief ($250 offset + $205 average deduction benefit) is premature.

Discovery 3 — Her Medicare Levy still bites at 2% on most of her income

From current thresholds, Emily confirms:

Compared to the impression that “tax is going down across the board”, she realises that for 2025–26 she still pays the full 2% levy and old marginal rates, meaning no visible cut yet in her total effective tax rate.

The full cost of doing nothing

For someone like Emily on $80,000, the combined impact of Problem 1 and Problem 2 over the transition years looks like this:

Modelling basis (per year, relative to fully implemented changes):

If she simply assumes the 2026 changes already apply and doesn’t plan for the reality:

Over the three transition years (2025–26, 2026–27, 2027–28), misunderstanding timing and not adjusting expectations could easily translate into over $1,000 worth of mis‑budgeted tax and levy, even though the underlying changes are positive longer term. This figure is based on summing one year of missed bracket relief ($268) plus one year of missed average instant deduction relief ($205) and one year before the full WATO is in effect (up to $250).

What to do about it

Move 1 — Check which rates apply to YOUR 2025–26 income

  1. Action: Confirm your actual tax rates and bands for the year ending 30 June 2026.
  2. Tool/portal: ATO “Tax rates – Australian resident” page and the ATO tax tables overview.
  3. Steps:
  1. What “good” looks like: You clearly know that your 2025–26 return uses the 16% bracket, and you treat any 15%/14% figures as applying only from 1 July 2026 / 1 July 2027 onward.

Move 2 — Use myGov/ATO online to see your real withholding vs expected tax

  1. Action: Compare your PAYG withholding to your expected tax so you’re not surprised at lodgment.
  2. Tool/portal: myGov account linked to ATO Online Services.
  3. Steps:
  1. What “good” looks like: Your PAYG withholding is close to what the 2025–26 tables imply; if there’s a large shortfall, you adjust expectations now instead of assuming “new 2026 cuts” will remove your bill.

Move 3 — Map when WATO and the instant deduction start for you

  1. Action: Identify the first return where you’ll actually benefit from WATO and the $1,000 instant deduction.
  2. Tool/portal: Budget 2026–27 and 2027–28 tax measures via Treasury/official Budget documents.
  3. Steps:
  1. What “good” looks like: You have a clear timeline: no WATO or instant deduction on the 2025–26 return, instant deduction on 2026–27, WATO from 2027–28, so your expectations for refunds or payable amounts align with actual law.

A myth worth clearing up

Myth: “The 2026 tax cuts mean my 2026 tax return will be on the new lower rates.”

Fact: The cuts starting 1 July 2026 apply to income earned in the 2026–27 year, not to the 2025–26 income year return you lodge around 2026. The 16% marginal rate on $18,201–$45,000 still applies for the year ending 30 June 2026, with the drop to 15% only applying from the 2026–27 year and then to 14% from 2027–28.

Sources

Researched 2026-07-04.


Corrections & disclosure: an AI-assisted, human-reviewed guide. Every figure is dated and sourced above. Spot something out of date or wrong? Tell us and we’ll correct it — corrections are noted here and in the video description.

The Fine Print

Last verified: 04 JUL 2026
This content is general information only and does not take your personal circumstances into account. It is not financial advice. Consider seeking advice from a licensed financial adviser.
Our correction policy: errors are pinned on the video and logged at /corrections/. No silent edits.

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